Check out your own article's reference to 1952, which scuttles your claim. Even if it didn't, the two things are not dependent variables. If you think they are, you shouldn't make the claim without a show of evidence, not coincidence or opinion, in support IF you want to make a case.
This isn't to say you're wrong. Nobody gave me a crystal ball, either. But evidence from , say, convergence of business cycles would seem to work more convincingly. It's been a better past predictor of economic difficulty.
China has had many more than two civil wars. China is a very old country. To put a new twist on an old cliche, China's had civil wars since well before Christ was a corporal. Actually, before he even enlisted, now that I think about it.
None of this stuff is necessary in order to panic about the state of the world. I find simply going out for a drive does it for me. None of the things you mention is necessary in order to be panicked and angry.
I fear I am very silly, because I'm unsure what you're trying to warn us about and what you think we can do to help. Could you say?
This is pretty much the way things usually are, isn't it?
I'm not sure that I would expect the world to behave differently than this, although this particular slice of information does leave a lot out that needs to be considered at the same time.
(In contrast to folks on the conservative side of things, I don't believe there are two varieties of news, one negative and therefore false and the other positive and therefore true. I believe that there's truth and falsehood in all of it, and that the more we know, the better we can make that discrimination and the more whole the picture is that we have.)
Anyway, Southern Justice, I hope a little bit of a response is something useful to you. All my best, BobK.