City of Roses
Again, Balladeer, I believe you're correct here.
Clinton's main problem going into 2008 will be being too hawkish on the issue of Iraq among Democrats, while McCain's main problem going into 2008 will be just the same. And though I'm sure some will definitely admire the latter's consistency towards suggesting that more troops should have been added to Iraq to begin with, the idea of sending more troops in is very unpopular at this time as many feel it's too late, with only 1/6 of Americans agreeing with that proposal. Of course I think Hillary will many more problems than her voting record on Iraq as it is.
As for Newt Gingrich and the GOP nomination......never gonna happen.
Too many Americans (nearly 3 in 5) say there's "no chance" they'd vote for him according to the same poll I previously touched on regarding Gore and other candidates, and he has a "feeling thermometer" average of 42, which is higher than Kerry (39.6) but lower than Gore.
Finally, while Democrats will certainly never take Gingrich seriously again, he's widely unpopular among independents as well. They make him out largely as a loose cannon it appears. I've even heard libertarians openly criticize him following some comments he made in New Hampshire last week at the Nackey S. Loeb First Amendment Award dinner, where he suggested a major re-assessment of First Amendment rights as we fight terrorism worldwide, especially through the Internet, adding, "This is a serious long term war and it will inevitably lead us to want to know what is said in every suspect place in the country. It will lead us to learn how to close down every web site that is dangerous."
Of course a unanimous majority of Americans strongly believe that terrorists do try to find every way to exploit our democratic cornerstones to enact their deadly agenda on innocent people. However, a unanimous majority of Americans also believe that how we go about stopping them isn't by calling to "reexamine freedom of speech" in order to "get ahead of the curve before we actually lose a city, which I think could happen in the next decade." as that would literally be waving a white flag to those trying to harm us, and rather we must stand guard against those threatening our way of life, while also proving resolute, patient and disciplined in understanding that sacrificing or re-assessing our liberties is EXACTLY what our enemies want; that we must stand up like Patrick Henry did at St. John's Church in Richmond, Virginia in 1775 during the lead-up to the American Revolution, who famously proclaimed, "Give me liberty or give me death!", and say that no matter how many times our enemies attempt to attack us, we won't sacrifice our liberties, and our resolution will leave the most sour taste of defeat to the tongues of the terrorists.
I apologize if I went off on a tangent here, but we are talking 2008 presidential politics here, and while I do believe that Gingrich doesn't actually intend to go medieval on our Constitution or anything like that, as I'm sure he loves this country very much like we all do, rhetoric such as this certainly can't help but make many wonder what his truest intentions are, especially after organizing the then-famous 1994 "Contract with America" which some now feel that with the likes of Jack Abramoff, Duke Cunnigham and William Jefferson coming about and generating a new culture of corruption in Congress, which part of the "Contract with America" promised to stop the corruption that the Democrats in Congress inspired, it was filled with some broken promises, and it's words like these that will leave even many Republicans wondering if they can ever trust him again. At least one prominent conservative blogger, Captain Ed, had this to say following Gingrich's statements:
"Free speech and religious freedom did not cause terrorism; in fact, the lack of both causes it. If Gingrich wants to offer the hair of the dog as a solution, then he will find himself very lonely on the campaign trail for the next two years."
And I think it's much more than just that that'll keep him from being elected, much the same reason Kerry and Gore have no shot.
"If we have no peace, it is because we have forgotten that we belong to each other"